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Check the latest statistics from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

 
The Basics
25 items -- butter to bikes -- soaring in cost

$2 gas may have blinded you to $4 milk, or that your car tag is up by a third. Here's where the real inflation is, plus 25 goods and services whose prices are actually falling.

 By Liz Pulliam Weston

Its hard to miss soaring gas prices, especially if youre filling up an SUV. But have you noticed that butter is setting you back a pretty penny these days or that you got a break this spring on womens bras?

The overall inflation rate, measured by the Consumer Price Index, is churning ahead at more than a 4% annual clip, but contained in that basket of prices are hundreds of items whose fluctuations dont garner headlines, even though they may greatly affect your pocketbook.

At MSN Moneys request, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which tracks this stuff, checked its list of consumer products and services to see which items had changed the most in price between December 2003 and April 2004, the latest data available. (The price changes are annualized, which means they reflect how much more or less the item would cost in a year if prices continued their four-month pace. The actual price change is a bit less than one-third of the listed figure.)

Heres what we found and what you can do about it:

 Goods and services rising the most so far in 2004
ItemAnnualized price change
Motor fuels other than gasoline (diesel, etc.)62.7%
Gasoline 58.1
Butter & margarine47.2
Motor vehicle fees (license & registration)32.4
Delivery service22.7
Fuel oil & other fuel18.4
Apples16.6
Women's suits & separates16.2
Airline fares13.0
Utilities (gas service)12.6
Other fats & oils including peanut butter12.3
Audio discs & tapes11.5
Hotels & motels11.0
Indoor plants & flowers10.9
Boy's apparel10.5
Household item repair9.5
College tuition & fees9.3
Bikes and other sports vehicles9.1
Legal services8.9
Men's shirts & sweaters8.8
Jewelry8.8
Pets & pet products8.8
Eggs8.7
Jewelry & watches8.3
Cheese & related products8.1
Data: January Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Inflation experts say that some items, such as apparel and accessories, can swing widely in price based on seasonal sales and retailers whims. Thats among the reasons womens suits and separates show up in the biggest-gainers list, while womens dresses and underwear appear among the biggest decliners. (See the full list below.)

But the numbers do illustrate several larger trends:

The big shadow cast by oil prices. Higher oil prices have pushed gasoline over $2 a gallon, but they are also helping to inflate a range of other costs, from home heating fuel to delivery services to air fares. The trend hasnt depressed travel, however, which is rebounding nicely and helping support higher lodging costs.
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When faced with rising prices, consumers who want to save money have two basic choices: conserve or substitute. Some ideas:
  • You can carpool, walk, bike or use public transit; do group errands; telecommute one or more days a week; or drive the more fuel-efficient car to get to work, if you have more than one vehicle available.
  • You'll find "25 cheap ways to keep your house cooler" here.
  • You can travel less or -- better yet -- change the way you shop. Booking air-and-hotel packages can help you win savings of 30% on both, said Nancy Dunnan, editor of TravelSmart Newsletter.
Fewer dairy cattle push milk and dairy prices up. Wholesale milk prices have doubled from two years ago, according to the Wisconsin Farm Bureau. The Farm Bureau attributes the trend to a number of factors: higher feed prices, a shortage of bovine-growth hormone because of production problems and a reduced stock of dairy cows after two years of paltry prices. The higher prices tend to show up first in butter and then in cheese. Milk prices started to soar later this spring and reached more than $4 a gallon in some supermarkets. The milk price spike came too late, however, to be fully reflected in our figures.)


Related news and commentary on MSN Money
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How 'stealth inflation' sneaks up on your wallet
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Yet another way the government hides inflation
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Milk and cheese are great nutrition and probably not something youll want to cut out of your diet completely, but that doesnt mean you have to let your family have unlimited amounts. Many thrifty shoppers limit kids to one glass of milk at meals, for example, followed by water. Save money and calories by adding butter to vegetables and bread in the kitchen, rather than leaving it on the table, or forgo the fat entirely.

You also can freeze milk, cheese and butter with little loss of quality (although some hard cheese can get a little crumbly). So when you find a good price or visit a bulk grocery store, stock up.

Troubles on the farm mean cheaper steaks, pricier eggs. The low-carb craze depressed the price of Krispy Kreme stock, but it wasnt enough to assuage consumer concerns about mad-cow disease. Thats helped send the price of uncooked beef tumbling. High-protein diets were, however, enough to help egg prices rise when combined with the avian flu that decimated poultry stocks in Asia and Canada. Meanwhile, unseasonably warm weather helped mature lettuce and tomato stocks early, leading to an abundant supply with lower prices that have depressed farmers but delighted shoppers.

Eggs are still a pretty cheap source of protein compared with beef or ham. But if the price bothers you, there are plenty of other choices for Sunday brunch.

Cash-strapped states. Lawmakers looking for new revenues helped push through big increases in motor vehicle fees and state college tuition, among other costs paid by consumers. Of course, college tuitions have increased at more than twice the rate of inflation for two decades, but the latest budget crises caused states to jack up public tuition at an even faster clip.

You can let your lawmakers know how you feel about these increases, of course, but, in the meantime, you might consider selling or storing any excess vehicles. Putting off a new car purchase for a year or two can also save you money, since state fees are usually based on the vehicles value.

Anyone concerned about rising tuition has a number of alternatives, from looking for a cheaper school to taking a semester off to work.

Advancing technology. Consumers have grown so used to falling computer prices they take it for granted that the machine they buy today will be replaced by a faster, more powerful version for less money tomorrow. But prices have dropped on a wide variety of other technology, including telephones, audio and video equipment, Internet services and photographic equipment and supplies.

That doesnt mean you need to rush right out to buy the latest and greatest. But sometimes new technology does save you money, make you more productive or both. Many a digital camera buyer, for example, discovers decent savings when shes no longer paying for film or development.

 Goods and services falling the most so far in 2004
ItemAnnualized price change
Lettuce-54.5%
Uncooked beef roasts-18.0
Uncooked beef steaks-13.5
Uncooked other beef & veal-12.7
Video equipment-10.7
Women's underwear-10.6
Photographic equipment & supplies-10.2
Tomatoes-10.0
Men's suits & sport coats -8.8
Flour & prepared flour mix -8.5
Telephone hardware-7.8
Audio equipment-7.7
Uncooked ground beef-7.1
Leased cars & trucks-6.7
Breakfast cereal -5.9
Car and truck rental-5.9
Ham-5.7
Personal computers & peripherals-5.5
Women's dresses-5.2
Snacks-4.7
Window coverings-4.6
Men's pants & shorts-4.5
Internet services-4.5
Computer software-4.1
Major appliances-3.9
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Liz Pulliam Weston's column appears every Monday and Thursday, exclusively on MSN Money. She also answers reader questions in the Your Money message board.



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