The Jubak Picks' 50 Best: Stocks for beating the market in the long run
The premise of my December 2008 book, 'The Jubak Picks,' and of this 50-stock list is simple: To reach your long-term goals -- putting your kids through college, buying a house, securing a comfortable retirement -- you've got to beat the stock market.

That hasn't always been true. Over long periods, stocks have returned an average of 10% a year. And that was enough to get investors where they wanted to go. But recently, the market hasn't been anywhere near that friendly. Over the 10 years that ended Dec. 22, 2008, the broad-based Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) showed an average annual loss of 0.93%. Yep, buy-and-hold index investors finished the period poorer than they started, even with dividends included.

My system for beating the market indexes won't produce instant wealth. And it won't protect you from losses during every market downturn. But it is a system that has worked for my online portfolio since May 1997. As of Dec. 22, the online portfolio had beaten the total return for the S&P 500 by 184 percentage points over the past 10 years.

My strategy is simple: Put more money into the hottest trends in the global economy as they're getting hot. Sell those trends when they get too hot. And put very little money into the trends that are cold or getting colder. In my book, I give you my take on the 10 trends that will, I believe, drive the global economy over the next five to 10 years -- or longer. And I explain how you can follow those trends in the headlines that fill the daily newspapers and Internet sites.

I've picked 50 stocks that you can use to invest in those trends. You shouldn't own all of these all the time. But by rotating in and out of these stocks and the trends they encapsulate, you can profit from what's heating up and avoid big losses from what's cooling down. You can get my most recent take on which trends to overweight and which to underweight by reading my most recent column on the timeliness of these trends. I last updated my take on these trends on March 17, 2009.

I've selected these stocks for the long term. But company fortunes change. In the coming years, some of the stocks on this list will become less central to my 10 trends. Some may even go out of business. And newcomers that hadn't even appeared on the horizon when I first compiled this list will become must-own stocks if you want to profit from these trends.

On this page, I'll track the performance of every stock in The Jubak Picks' 50 Best from this portfolio's first day -- Dec. 30, 2008 -- to the present. I'll also track the performance of the stocks on this list as a whole and compare that to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite ($COMPX) indexes.

But remember, your performance should be better than any of these totals because you aren't going to buy and hold this entire list. If you're a more aggressive investor or one with a shorter time horizon, you should have a look at my Jubak's Picks 12-month portfolio.

Editor's note: Jim Jubak is an employee of Microsoft and owns stock in the company. He also may at any time own shares in a number of companies included in the following list.

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CompanySymbolPrice
12/30/08
Price
Now
Today's
Change
Change
Since 12/30/08
Accor SA  ACRFF    47.00  55.40 unch  17.87%
Apache Corp  APA    73.64  97.77 1.30  32.77%
BHP Billiton ADR  BHP    41.94  75.05 1.69  78.95%
Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp  BNI    74.53  98.26 0.16  31.84%
Bunge Ltd  BG    50.08  63.68 0.37  27.16%
Cemex ADR Repstg Ten Ord Participation Share Certificates  CX    8.78  11.34 0.25  29.17%
Central European Distribution Corp  CEDC    19.30  30.33-0.23  57.15%
Cisco Systems Inc  CSCO    16.23  23.90 0.44  47.26%
Coach Inc  COH    20.36  34.76 0.97  70.73%
Corning Inc  GLW    9.01  16.49 0.08  83.02%
Deere & Co  DE    37.65  51.85 1.02  37.72%
Embraer - Empresa Brasileira de Aeronautica SA  ERJ    15.60  20.63 0.14  32.24%
Enbridge Inc  ENB    32.23  41.96 0.64  30.19%
EnCana Corp  ECA    46.15  52.95 0.15  14.73%
Exxon Mobil Corp  XOM    78.59  75.70 1.32 -3.68%
First Solar Inc  FSLR    135.65  121.42 0.24 -10.49%
Flowserve Corp  FLS    51.33  102.93 1.36  100.53%
Fortescue Metals Group Ltd  FSUMF    1.35  3.94 0.14  191.85%
Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc  FCX    23.73  85.33 0.76  259.59%
General Cable Corp  BGC    16.69  31.23 0.02  87.12%
General Electric Co  GE    15.82  16.02 0.43  1.26%
Goldcorp Inc  GG    30.72  44.31 0.67  44.24%
Google Inc  GOOG    303.11  582.35 12.39  92.13%
HDFC Bank Ltd  HDB    72.35  135.79 1.67  87.68%
HSBC ADR representing 5 Ord Shs  HBC    47.08  61.95 1.04  31.58%
Impala Platinum Depository Receipt  IMPUY    13.97  23.24 1.09  66.36%
ING Groep ADR Representing 1 Ord Shs  ING    10.86  14.26 0.48  31.31%
Infosys Technologies Ltd  INFY    24.45  51.84 0.61  112.02%
Itau Unibanco Holding SA  ITUB    10.42  22.15 0.43  112.61%
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc  JEC    46.68  36.42-0.17 -21.98%
Johnson Controls Inc  JCI    17.90  27.24 0.38  52.18%
Joy Global Inc  JOYG    21.99  53.61-0.42  143.79%
Kinross Gold Corp  KGC    18.19  19.59 0.45  7.70%
Lan Airlines ADR Rep 1 Ord Shs  LFL    8.64  15.42 0.49  78.47%
Luxottica ADR Reptg One Ord Shs  LUX    17.95  25.53 0.89  42.23%
Monsanto Co  MON    69.52  79.89-0.19  14.92%
Nokia ADR representing one Series A Ord Shs  NOK    15.77  13.43 0.10 -14.84%
Petroleo Brasileiro ADR Reptg 2 Ord Shs  PBR    23.73  51.13 1.07  115.47%
Pepsico Inc  PEP    54.88  62.49 0.41  13.87%
Potash Corp of Saskatchewan Inc  POT    73.80  113.78-0.92  54.17%
Q-Cells AG  QCLSF    33.10  16.00 unch -51.66%
Rayonier Inc  RYN    30.76  39.84 0.26  29.52%
Schlumberger NV  SLB    42.12  64.63 1.29  53.44%
State Street Corp  STT    37.56  41.74 0.94  11.13%
Suntech Power Holdings ADR Reptg One Ord Shs  STP    11.89  15.52 0.34  30.53%
Tejon Ranch Corp  TRC    24.07  26.02 0.50  8.10%
Tenaris ADR 2 Ord Shs  TS    20.85  41.41 1.04  98.61%
Thompson Creek Metals Co Inc  TC    3.89  11.71 0.19  201.03%
Ultra Petroleum Corp  UPL    34.03  46.32 0.27  36.12%
Vale ADR repsg One Ord Shs  VALE    11.83  28.64 0.45  142.10%
Portfolio Performance  56.80%
S&P 500 INDEX  27.24%
NASDAQ Composite Index  44.08%



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